HSBC 跌到...

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HSBC 跌到...

Postby beaniebean » Wed Jan 14, 2009 10:11 pm

今日看了以下2則新聞, 標題如下:

1) 大摩降匯控目標價至52元 (http://hk.biz.yahoo.com/090114/241/3803m.html?s=0005.hk)
2) 劉兆祥: 恐匯控(0005.HK)明天會跌至66元(http://hk.biz.yahoo.com/090114/263/381kw.html?s=0005.hk)

嘩, 真的會跌得咁勁? Willy, 請問你既意見如何呢? 究竟幾時先係入市既最佳時機??

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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby willy » Thu Jan 15, 2009 11:22 am

阿Bean, 乜你有興趣匯豐嗎? 如果你問幾時買好, 請參考一下我前一篇文章: "有現金的還是忍一下手吧, 找一下短期的定期存款收一下息. 等公司業績期時再度出擊." 你想匯豐有運行, '起碼'要等到佢出咗全年業績先好出擊, 因為而家大家都唔知佢經營有幾'差', 估估下太唔安全. 我地係散戶, 資金有限, 掌握資訊有限, 所以無需咁心急.

匯豐跌至5x, 個人覺得一點也不出奇, 因為盈利能力會影響股價. 而家匯豐係世界級銀行, 全球性經濟問題肯定會直接影響到佢既業績. 問題只是好少而已. 不過我還是那一句, 我對佢係有信心, 全因佢既企業管治可說是世界一流的.

其實世界經濟何時走出谷底, 估計不會大長, 連之前跌了15個月計, 樂觀看就說12個月後吧, 反正都是估估下. 如1997年大跌市, 18個月就可能恢復元氣. 而2000科技爆破, 則需約42個月 (中間經歷沙士). 至於今次, 則是美國地產借款市場爆破 (這裡我把問題簡單化了), 但美國還是世界經濟巨人, 復原應該是比較快. 還有一點就是這幾年各國政府 (除了美國) 及民間都積蓄了不少財富, 要渡過這個經濟低潮應不會有太大問題.
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simondog
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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby simondog » Mon Jan 19, 2009 12:00 am

Before I said will drop to $65 ... now become ture

I personally think hsbc will drop to $55 and stop for a while ... and possible will see $45
Lovely Dog

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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby willy » Mon Jan 19, 2009 11:11 am

阿dog, 你好似話$65會買所第一注($ was from Anson brother), 咁你而家重對 HKBank 有冇興趣呀?

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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby simondog » Tue Jan 20, 2009 12:17 pm

I didn't ask Anson for $
I will have cash to buy HSBC around May to April, I hope the price at that time is around $45
Lovely Dog

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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby willy » Tue Jan 20, 2009 5:12 pm

阿dog, 你終於明白做人要腳踏實地喇, 可喜可賀. 祝你如願以嘗, 牛年投資大豐收.

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simondog
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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby simondog » Wed Jan 21, 2009 11:15 am

I am afraid the price dropped to $45 too early and rebound back over $60
>.<
Lovely Dog

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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby simondog » Wed Jan 21, 2009 11:33 am

"散戶長城" 救不了匯控 倫敦再見52元
"Wait Simon" 救匯控 end 2009 見100元
Here below is the timeline

May - $45, Simon invest on 1st hand of hsbc
June - $48
July - $50, Simon invest on 2nd hand of hsbc
Aug - $65
Sept - $75
Oct - $70
Nov - $88
Dec - $100
Lovely Dog

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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby beaniebean » Wed Jan 21, 2009 1:49 pm

看了呢段新聞, 簡直感覺繪聲繪影!!!大笨象今舖真慘, 俾大鱷咬住唔放, 睇嚟我都係要打醒十二分精神. 如Willy所講, 要睇定啲先, 可能真係要到業績公布時才可出手...

金融High Tea - 群鱷圍剿大笨象 (頭條日報, 作者: 陸羽仁, 日期: 21/01/09)
Source: http://www.hkheadline.com/dailynews/headline_news_detail_columnist.asp?id=69534&section_name=wtt&kw=%AA%F7%BF%C4High+Tea%A1X%A1X%B8s%C6s%B3%F2%B6%CF%A4j%B2%C2%B6H

轉截部份文章內容 :

“............ 茶友話,咿家群鱷借住大行的報告圍攻滙控,呢隻大笨象俾人咬住,已處於弱勢,因為愈跌市場信心愈弱,愈難集資,滙控整天說沒有需要集資,只怕佢覺得有需要時,已經太遲。照正路鱷魚吞獵物,唔係一啖食晒,會咬幾咬、拋幾拋,然後才吞落肚,即係話跌到咁上下又會放吓口俾你唞吓氣,跌到咁上吓應該會彈番上60幾元喘幾口大氣,但唔好以為無事,班鱷魚轉眼又來,愈咬愈深,到滙控3月初公佈業績時,「大龍鳳」又出場。俾鱷魚咬住時唔好唔信鏡,最好壯士斷臂,咁就可以保住條命,佢哋話滙控唔掂時,滙控唔駁咀馬上集資,可能仲好啲,咿家就愈陷愈深。美國幾隻金融股都係一路俾人沽空一路俾人唱,唱唱吓就唱死咗,真係諗起都打冷震。

我俾大家的忠告是大笨象反彈時,都要忍住手唔好買,我覺得滙控和大市都未跌完,即使你好深信牛市明天到來(我未信),真係要買,不如買恒指基金盈富基金(2800) ,咁都等如買咗五分一隻滙控,若滙控一帆風順,盈富唔會太差,萬一滙控跌落水底,盈富都死唔去。在百年一遇的金融海嘯,唔好望即刻發達,要適當控制風險也。”

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Re: HSBC 跌到...

Postby simondog » Thu Jan 22, 2009 4:38 pm

Don't trust ... cash is king
Lovely Dog


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